Yes, possible. Anything is possible.
The actual likelihood that some event – such as this – happened
is the arithmetic product of the possibility and the probability.
The possibility that this is a terrorist or similar act is likely 90-100%.
The probability that it is a terrorist or similar act is likely 25 – 50%
(my WAG)* and rising.
The actual likelihood it was a terrorist or similar occurrence is
therefore: 0.95 x 0.375 = 35.625. But the use of five significant
figures in such a calculation is totally unjustified. Let’s say there
is maybe a 1/3 likelihood.
You can use your own numbers and come to your own conclusion.
The probability that it will happen to your daughter’s flight is
likely <<1%, owing to endless confounding factors, all of them
pointing to “no”.
* WAG = Wild-Assed Guess.
On 2014-03-14, at 10:04 AM, Gary Reid wrote:
My daughter is on a plane from Shanghai to London as I write this!!!!!!